Authors: 
A.M. Germansky
Category: 
Poster
Conference: 
Abstract: 

In the work the tables describing death rate of the population of 48 European countries during the period between 1970 and 2000 years as well as the death rate statistics related to the population of 191 countries for 1999th, 2000th and 2001st years were used. For the European countries the initial data was taken in form of the statistics of general death rate (separately for men and women) (q0) and casual death rate (qc) in the age groups 45/54, 55/64, 65/74 and 75/84 years, which has allowed to calculate the natural death rates dynamics of the population (qe) as the difference between the appropriate parameters - qe = qо - qс.

As regarding 191 countries of the world, the role of the initial data for the analysis was performed by the databases including general death rate information of separately male and female population (qо) in the age of 55/59, 60/64, 65/67, 70/74, 74/80 years for 1999th and 55/59, 60/64, 65/67, 70/74, 75/79, 80/84 years, for 2000th and 2001st. The analysis of age dependence of death rate of people, carried out according to the original technique, has allowed to isolate a natural component of death rate and to calculate its parameters (Gompertz ratios).

In both cases the information presented in the database of the European department of the World organization of public health services (HFA-MDB), as well as on the official site of the World organization of public health services - WHO Statistical Information System (WHOSIS) was used.

The analysis of natural death rate dynamics of the population of 48 European countries in course of the recent history period has allowed to single out three basic groups, differing in a level of sociopolitical stability, first of all. The received results prove the dominant influence of social life conditions' factor on natural death rate in course of the specified historical period. It appears that the most important thing is the sharp change of psychosocial conditions in a society.

Studying of the correlation between the parameters of the appropriate equations, describing natural death rate of the population of 48 European countries, considering the radiocarbon mechanism of ageing as a core principle, has allowed to establish the following. The natural human beings' death rate variations, caused by the emotional - mental overstrain of people, is described by the laws, which are similar to those, describing natural death rate changes, caused by 14С concentration in biosphere. In other words, it really seems to imply, that the powerful stressful reactions of the population caused by crises in a society life as well as the increase of 14С concentration in biosphere appear to have the common stage in mechanisms of the influence on human beings' organisms.

If it is really so, a long -period emotional - mental overstrain will probably be followed by an increase of 14С concentration in some structures of an organism. In its turn, such an increase of 14С concentration causes the protective reaction in form of strengthening of the discrimination effect interfering 14С penetration into chemical compound of DNA similarly to the effect occurring in case of the increase of radiocarbon concentration level in an atmosphere.

Thus, comparing, on the one hand, the results caused by the influence of emotional - mental factors and, on the other hand, natural death rate parameters' variations, connected with the reliably fixed in the period of atmospheric nuclear tests, changes of 14С concentration in an organism, has allowed to make the following conclusions. Variations of natural death rate parameters, submit with the high statistical reliability, close to 1, to the certain laws, regardless of the factors determining their historical dynamics. These laws follow in a strict mathematical manner from a radiocarbon mechanism model of a human being organism's ageing.

Studying of the death rate statistics of 191 countries of the world including the periods of 1999, 2000 and 2001 years completely confirms the fact of the existence of ageing process's law, found out while working with the European countries' death rate databases, which allows to regard this law as the fundamental law, described by the equation containing specific constants. Numerical values of these constants are determined.

The reality of a hypothesis implying that the found out law in the result of radiocarbon ageing mechanism can further be experimentally checked up by means of 14С concentration direct gouging carried out in separate structures of human beings' and experimental animals' organisms, before and after long-period stressful loadings.

Keywords (Optional): 
the radioactive carbon
natural death rate
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